this special episode of the Skymet Podcast, AVM G.P. Sharma, President – Meteorology & Climate Change, Skymet Weather, analyses the current monsoon situation, the growing influence of El Niño, and the rainfall trends expected in the coming days.

India’s rainfall deficit reached 40% in June, improved to 14% in early July, and rose again to 21% by July 14. The monsoon is currently not in a conventional “break” phase, but experiencing uneven rainfall distribution—with East and Northeast India receiving more rain, while parts of Central, Western, Northern and Southern India continue to face deficits.

The episode also explores the new low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal, the regions likely to receive rainfall, and whether it could bring relief to rainfall-deficient areas.

Listen in for an expert assessment of the evolving monsoon pattern and what lies ahead.