Lecture 13 introduces two basic techniques for futures price forecasting: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Carter gives examples of fundamental analysis, such as purchasing-power parity in currency markets are presented. 

Futures and Options

ARE139: Lecture 13, Fall 2015

This course focuses on the institutional structure and economic functions of futures and options markets. Price formation in both commodity (e.g., corn, crude oil, cotton, and cattle) and financial (e.g., Eurodollar, Treasury Bonds, and stock indexes) futures and options markets will be examined in detail. The theory and practice of hedging will be explored in depth. Additional topics include: the theory of inter-temporal price formation for commodities and financials, common approaches used to forecast prices, statistical analysis of historical price behavior, and futures and options market regulation.

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Futures and Options